Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.152207 0.176106 0.202499 0.233806 0.269929 0.310308 0.358881
2025-11-02 0.111859 0.143157 0.181284 0.231141 0.294639 0.372851 0.476597
2025-11-09 0.088025 0.120848 0.163656 0.223566 0.305286 0.412957 0.565814
2025-11-16 0.076055 0.110573 0.158169 0.228570 0.330125 0.471475 0.683560
2025-11-23 0.066131 0.101045 0.151567 0.229969 0.348681 0.521954 0.794693
2025-11-30 0.058962 0.094188 0.147408 0.233621 0.369935 0.577525 0.918567
2025-12-07 0.051303 0.085358 0.138881 0.229058 0.377401 0.612248 1.013465
2025-12-14 0.045366 0.078383 0.132206 0.226248 0.386730 0.650082 1.116591
2025-12-21 0.041408 0.074113 0.129281 0.229007 0.405122 0.703981 1.251603
2025-12-28 0.039286 0.072687 0.130872 0.239472 0.437541 0.784416 1.440562
2026-01-04 0.036772 0.070217 0.130285 0.245861 0.463203 0.855397 1.620010
2026-01-11 0.034388 0.067671 0.129217 0.251121 0.487156 0.925407 1.804769
2026-01-18 0.031752 0.064395 0.126539 0.253249 0.505851 0.988420 1.984955
2026-01-25 0.028799 0.060148 0.121549 0.250338 0.514494 1.033356 2.135318
2026-02-01 0.025637 0.055084 0.114361 0.242137 0.511505 1.054967 2.240808
2026-02-08 0.024205 0.053441 0.113862 0.247555 0.536910 1.135874 2.477130
2026-02-15 0.022547 0.051108 0.111655 0.249070 0.554149 1.201547 2.688079
2026-02-22 0.021260 0.049435 0.110650 0.253023 0.576982 1.281137 2.937628
2026-03-01 0.019384 0.046205 0.105896 0.248083 0.579475 1.316837 3.092914
2026-03-08 0.017840 0.043565 0.102167 0.245040 0.585888 1.361720 3.273836
2026-03-15 0.016861 0.042151 0.101080 0.248027 0.606615 1.441015 3.543767
2026-03-22 0.016496 0.042190 0.103385 0.259359 0.648412 1.573255 3.954769
2026-03-29 0.015868 0.041498 0.103868 0.266275 0.680170 1.684857 4.327194